Possible SVR Event Next Week

Published by: rose 2009-01-07

This is on the edge of the threshold to be placed in the FCST thread, but given time and uncertainties this seems like the place for the discussion currently; sure it will need moved or even forgot about as the possible event nears. That being said, the GFS is pretty aggressive in bringing a wicked trough to the plains by next Wednesday, the trusty European model is also in pretty good agreement, currently showing similar strength and timing of this trough. Given the time, its not much worth discussing much beyond that there looks to be a strong system developing, but given the current forecast, I would say the plains seasons first widespread severe weather event may be just around the corner. Based on current model runs IMO the system shows a lot of similarities to 3/28 last year, similar orientation of the trough and almost exactly the same location of surface low. Its tough to ignore a 985mb low over the high plains in April, just something to keep an eye on.

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