Which is greater:
the probability of dying in an automobile accident in the
Philadelphia, PA metro area making a daily commute of about 35 miles
(round trip) over 1 year
OR
the probability of dying as a victim of homicide in the 19145 zip code
in South Philadelphia over 1 year?
Please provide references. We have a serious debate to settle.
Hi,
Interesting debate.
From 1999-2001 414 people died in Philadelphia from auto accidents
http://www.epodunk.com/cgi-bin/healthInfo.php?locIndex=14656
In the same years 920 people died from murder in Philadelphia
http://www.ppdonline.org/hq_statistics.php
Zipcodes are not used for Statistics, even by the US Census, so there
is not database of murder by zipcode. However, Philadelphia does have
a crime database:
http://ucr.psp.state.pa.us/UCR/Reporting/Monthly/Summary/MonthlySumOffenseUI.asp
which you can use to get the numbers you are looking for. It does a
Monthly Summary, but if you set the year, and then the month to
December, then choose YTD it will give you total for the year.
Choosing South Central (where your zipcode is)
1999 : Not available in database
2000 : 42
2001 : 37
2002 : 46
So I would say that driving in Philadelphia is still far more
dangerous than walking through the South Side.
Sites of Interest
Philadelphia
http://www.epodunk.com/cgi-bin/genInfo.php?locIndex=14656
Death Statistics
http://www.unitedjustice.com/death-statistics.html
Neighborhood of 19145
http://realestate.yahoo.com/re/neighborhood/search.html?sa=&csz=19145&submit=Submit
thanks and Happy Holidays, (stay off the roads)
webadept-ga Murder Charges Filed in Delaware Firefighter's Death - Firehouse ::
20, driving at a high rate of speed southbound on U.S. 13, when he sideswiped a marked county police car stationed at the scene of a motorcycle accident
http://cms.firehouse.com/web/online/News/Murder-Charges-Filed-in-Delaware-Firefighters-Death/46$62133HOME |
this is helpful, however, if we're comparing rates, we'd need a
denominator. in the case of homicides, the denominator would just be
the number of people in the philadelphia metro area (we'll make this
our new criterion based on convenience). in the case of the motor
vehicle accident deaths, the denominator would have to be something
like the # of people riding in cars or number of registred and
non-registered vehicles on the road times the average number of riders
per vehicle. do you think you could find these denominators, or some
reasonable approximation, for us?
also, you conclude that driving is far more dangerous. this was my
original contention. but it seems like the data points the other way.
how do you get that from the data you gave us?
thanks for your help thus far. Contrary to popular belief, exurbs more dangerous than cities ::
10 posts - Last post: Jul 6, 2008 the risk of death due to homicide versus auto accident in central homicide due to arguing with your spouse/relative or homicide due
http://www.city-data.com/forum/general-u-s/369729-contrary-popular-belief-exurbs-more-dangerous.htmlHOME |
 Red Hat's Rough Recovery From CFO Exit
 Windows Live Finds a New, Pre-installed Home
|
